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dutchcountry7

2020-21 Schedule

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Any word on who we are playing?

Any big games?

Will we play Canisius and Niagara?

Will we play St. Bona even though we could see them twice since they are in the tournament with us?

 

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Not sure if this belongs here (and if anyone will find it interesting - but I hope) - but took a look at the relationship in the MAC between experience level and conference win percentage since 2013 season.  Here are two charts, the one on the left is the entire MAC with Buffalo highlighted in blue.  The chart on the right is Buffalo's result by itself.

image.thumb.png.8f8ca5b2bd28c55c2283541e8dbf5f75.png

Some observations - the R-squared on Buffalo chart shows that there is some correlation between team experience and win pct.   However, other variables, like the coach, players and quality of the other MAC teams (as well as other factors) would account for differences in performance.  The main take away from the chart on the left - shows how Buffalo has been one of the top performers in the MAC (which I know I did not need to do the chart to tell you).  Given the current makeup of the team - it is looking like experience level will be around 2.80-2.90 (from Barttorvik estimates which do not factor in Malik - but I don't expect that to change average much).   Given that experience level - the high bar was set by Oats in 2017-18 year with 15-3 record (0.833 win percent.    Again this is not the only variable that should be considered, but I think 14/15 wins out of 20 would be in line with past performance.  Hoping that there is a season to find out.

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14 hours ago, RecoveringHillbilly said:

Makes you wonder if the school know something about the 2020 Paradise Jam.  I do not think either school would want to play each other twice within two weeks.  Even if the schools are on opposite sides of the bracket they could meet in the Championship or 7th place game on November 23.

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1 hour ago, RecoveringHillbilly said:

A New Hampshire fan on the America East forum posted we are hosting UNH, a buy game. No date indicated.

FWIW, bartorvik.com has UNH ranked at 210.  A game we should be favored, but should be an entertaining matchup.  Similar quality opponent to Dartmouth and W&M from last season.  

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