What I feel we do know 10 games in is that this team was not built to compete this year. I won't repeat some of the issues that have been cited. However, the main contributing factor is the amount of minutes coming from freshman (plus Fulcher moving from JUCO to D1). I had mentioned before that the stats of Fulcher, Boldin and Sabol (current group) were comparable to Caruthers (SO after 1 year JUCO), Graves (FR) and Segu (FR) (prior group). I believe if you substituted Caruthers, Graves and Segu from their first year into current team and asked them to contribute as many minutes, the result would likely not be significantly different. My point is to emphasize the lack of experience may be the primary reason for the poor results, not the lack of talent. Time will tell if any of these players progress in the way Caruthers, Graves and Segu did.
I think it is worth noting that the current team members results are statistically a bit lower than the prior group, but this is based on playing more minutes - with more coming against the starters of other teams. I would submit that the numbers would not be that different if the group of Caruthers, Graves and Segu played more minutes against starters.
So why is there a glimmer of hope - Fulcher, Boldin and Sabol will improve. If they remain with the team and Halcovage does better with bringing players on board you could be looking at much improved results in year two.