Using Barttorvik 'Game Score' you will see that there tends to be improvement over the course of the season. Here are the two years under Whitesell:
Looking at prior years one will often see this upward progression, which is possibly a combination of the team improving and the level of competition being a little lower. So I am optimistic that the team will improve. That said - so will other teams. We will have to improve more to attain goals we have set, including contributions beyond starting 5.
Nothing has changed for my perspective as a result of first two games - not a large enough sample. Ohio and UB are still likely the teams to beat.
It comes down to how you define a successful season - is it a MACC win or nothing, or is it the collection of the season. Quite frankly I would not want to be judged for my performance for the year on something that is 2/3rd likely not happening.
Repeating what I have provided in past comparison of team rank for last four coaches.
With some modest improvement over our current rank of 77 to say 65, would be in top 3 rank for program history. Would I be satisfied with a rank of 65 without an NCAA tourney appearance, as a fan - no way. But I don't think you need to fire the coach in that instance. That doesn't mean your critique and others are invalid, but I would say approach as 'feedback for improvement' rather than 'criticism'
One other point I have made in the past - Oats is a special coach - not a dime a dozen. You are not going to just be able to find a coach the caliber of Oats every 3 to 4 years. Look what he has done with Alabama: