Bluebird96 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 (edited) UB currently is a 1.5 Pt underdog, with over/under of 145.5. ESPN.com’s Matchup Predictor gives UB a 58% chance to win. FWIW, in games against the top 4 in the MAC, Akron is 0-1 with a 7-Pt loss @ Ball St. UB is 1-2. In games vs common opponents (BSU, BG, NIU, Ohio, CMU & MOH), Akron is 5-1 with a +51 Pt differential while UB is 4-2 with +56. Another big test, need to shoot and take care of the ball a whole lot better than Friday. Go Bulls! 🤘 Edited January 31, 2023 by Bluebird96 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UB Horns Up Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Another loss tomorrow I don’t see UB Bulls beating the Akron Zips in my opinion. UB Horns Up! Go Bulls! Let’s Go Buffalo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocCas86 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 10 hours ago, Bluebird96 said: UB currently is a 1.5 Pt underdog, with over/under of 145.5. ESPN.com’s Matchup Predictor gives UB a 58% chance to win. FWIW, in games against the top 4 in the MAC, Akron is 0-1 with a 7-Pt loss @ Ball St. UB is 1-2. In games vs common opponents (BSU, BG, NIU, Ohio, CMU & MOH), Akron is 5-1 with a +51 Pt differential while UB is 4-2 with +56. Another big test, need to shoot and take care of the ball a whole lot better than Friday. Go Bulls! 🤘 Thanks for the summary. It is interesting that predictors would have UB be a slight favorite, but the actual spread has the Bulls as slight underdogs. I hope UB proves their doubters wrong. In four road games, Akron is 3-1. Overall in these games Akron has struggled offensively. However, they have been extremely good defensively. As you said, the Bulls need to shoot better this game and limit turnovers against what is sure to be a very aggressive d. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UBinMD Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 47 minutes ago, DocCas86 said: Thanks for the summary. It is interesting that predictors would have UB be a slight favorite, but the actual spread has the Bulls as slight underdogs. I hope UB proves their doubters wrong. In four road games, Akron is 3-1. Overall in these games Akron has struggled offensively. However, they have been extremely good defensively. As you said, the Bulls need to shoot better this game and limit turnovers against what is sure to be a very aggressive d. I think Curtis Jones will have a much better outing today, so that will hopefully make the difference. I expect a win tonight, let's see how it goes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocCas86 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 hour ago, UBinMD said: I think Curtis Jones will have a much better outing today, so that will hopefully make the difference. I expect a win tonight, let's see how it goes. A telling offensive stat tonight will be the 3 pt shooting. In four home games the Bulls have shot 40.2% from 3, while Akron has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from 3 while on the road. If Jones and Adams lead the way from outside (especially early) that will bode well for prospects of a win. I will be right there along with you rooting for a win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clodney Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 I actually think we win tonight too. We seem to play well against teams that like to slow it down. The students are finally back, right? We probably come out a bit over energized and sloppy but I think we recover and pull out a good home win. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ubxcretired Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 And - free beer! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullsbball Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 (edited) It could be implied the "tasting" is beer since Southern Tier Brewing will be there but for what I know, we'll be tasting water. But, maybe it's a blood tasting since UB MD will be there. They could have made it more clear. Edited January 31, 2023 by bullsbball Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj_paige Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 4 hours ago, DocCas86 said: Thanks for the summary. It is interesting that predictors would have UB be a slight favorite, but the actual spread has the Bulls as slight underdogs. Spread is not based on relative team strengths, it varies up and down on betting patterns to try to provide the most profit to the bookies. I believe the ESPN approach is based more on the team's performance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocCas86 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 (edited) 35 minutes ago, dj_paige said: Spread is not based on relative team strengths, it varies up and down on betting patterns to try to provide the most profit to the bookies. I believe the ESPN approach is based more on the team's performance. I get that the two views come from different perspectives / sources. I was commenting that the bettors are giving the Bulls less credit than the bartorviks and kenpoms and that Ub has to go out there and prove them (the betting population) wrong. Edited January 31, 2023 by DocCas86 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChubbyHubby Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 hour ago, bullsbball said: It could be implied the "tasting" is beer since Southern Tier Brewing will be there but for what I know, we'll be tasting water. But, maybe it's a blood tasting since UB MD will be there. They could have made it more clear. I prefer to look at it this way. With Southern Tier Brewing being there and UBMD sponsoring the game, I see it that the Docs are trying to tell us that beer is good for us. That's my story, and I'm sticking to it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj_paige Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 45 minutes ago, DocCas86 said: I get that the two views come from different perspectives / sources. I was commenting that the bettors are giving the Bulls less credit than the bartorviks and kenpoms and that Ub has to go out there and prove them (the betting population) wrong. Or it could be that more Akron fans are betting than UB fans. It's not necessarily a reflection of team strength. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocCas86 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 7 minutes ago, dj_paige said: Or it could be that more Akron fans are betting than UB fans. It's not necessarily a reflection of team strength. Fair point - there could be a bias in spread coming from that perspective. Thanks for the education. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuchMany Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 13 minutes ago, dj_paige said: Or it could be that more Akron fans are betting than UB fans. It's not necessarily a reflection of team strength. Pretty unlikely given the relatively small betting market for these games. Sure, lots of action on a certain side could move the spread a half point or two. But the starting basis is still a projection of the game based on team strength. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluebird96 Posted January 31, 2023 Author Share Posted January 31, 2023 The spread is up to 2.5 now. About what should be expected based on each team’s performance thus far. Akron won’t make it easy for sure. Castaneda and Freeman are a tough 1-2 scoring punch and Freeman seems to have endless energy and wreaks havoc on the defensive end. Other than those 2, only 1 other Zip averages more than 9 ppg while UB has a more balanced attack with 5 players at 9+ ppg. If the Bulls can shoot 40%+ from 3, 70% on FTs and get more fast break opportunities than vs Kent, they should be in good shape. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clodney Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Betting by the fanbases of these 2 teams won't put a dent in the degenerates gambling these games. It's all based on perception, not fandom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
squire17 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Powell running point. What could go wrong? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluebird96 Posted February 1, 2023 Author Share Posted February 1, 2023 7 minutes ago, squire17 said: Powell running point. What could go wrong? Rough start for Zid. No more jacking threes, please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chet Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 What a disgusting start. Powell tries a tomahawk dunk instead of taking a gimme layup and misses. Akron immediately turns it into points. One team looks prepared and ready to play and it's not the Bulls. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tee4three Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Please stop having Powell or adams bring the ball up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BasketBull Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Exactly what you expect from a Whitesell team when they face a quality MAC squad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tee4three Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Really missing our best guard tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chet Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Tee4three said: Really missing our best guard tonight Jones is playing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tee4three Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chet said: Jones is playing. *Ball handling guard 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tee4three Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Akron clowning on UB tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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